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Systemic Risk in 2025: Lessons for Stronger Organizational Resilience

Written by John Meder, National Risk Management Practice Leader | Dec 16, 2025 6:15:05 PM

Throughout 2025, the Future of Risk series demonstrated that the era of systemic risk has arrived, and the days of treating risks as isolated incidents are over.

Today’s most damaging threats no longer fit neatly in one category. They move across borders, industries and business models in ways that are interconnected, compounding and increasingly unpredictable.

Each article in the series dove deeper into how this shift is reshaping exposures across the risk landscape — from cyberattacks that shut down physical operations and climate-driven disruptions that upend global supply chains to demographic and workforce pressures that shape executive liability.

Each blog reinforced the same reality: systemic risk is now the defining challenge for risk managers and business leaders. This will remain true in 2026. And if not identified and addressed properly, these risks have the potential to catch organizations off guard and create severe business continuity, reputational risks, and/or employee safety issues.

By analyzing the Future of Risk insights, you can gain a deeper understanding of this new frontier and develop systemic risk management frameworks that help your organization prepare for a more globally interconnected and complex world.

Six key learnings about systemic risk in 2025

1. How interconnections driving systemic risks are growing more complex

Modern systemic risks operate less like isolated events and more like a network of cascading failures with the potential to affect nearly all industries.

A climate-driven weather event can impact supply chain continuity, pressure costs and create economic volatility, which in turn can increase cyber exposure as organizations race to digitize or cut costs. An attack on a single vendor now has the potential to send shockwaves across an entire business ecosystem within hours.

Risks once viewed as sector-specific now move with speed and scale. Interdependence amplifies the impact of all exposures, turning single-point disruptions into system-wide challenges.

2. Why cyber threats have become a systemic risk, not just digital

In 2025, cyber threats affecting businesses underwent a significant shift: cyber incidents are no longer confined to the digital realm. They increasingly disrupt physical operations, logistics networks, customer touchpoints and financial resilience.

Several trends are accelerating this transition:

  • AI-powered attacks and ransomware-as-a-service have lowered the barrier to entry for threat actors.
  • Vendor and third-party vulnerabilities create exposure far beyond any one organization’s perimeter.
  • Regulatory activity in privacy and generative AI is intensifying the consequences of non-compliance.

Cyber is now intertwined with every other exposure — transportation, healthcare, infrastructure, finance — requiring an enterprise-wide approach to manage these interconnected risks. The organizations best positioned for the future will integrate technology, people and processes to help detect, respond and recover faster.

3. Climate risk as a financial and operational systemic threat

Climate volatility is no longer a purely environmental challenge — it’s a financial, operational and geopolitical one.

Extreme weather, drought, wildfires and flooding are happening simultaneously across regions, disrupting:

  • Agriculture and food systems
  • Manufacturing outputs
  • Infrastructure reliability
  • Local and global supply chains

The secondary effects are just as disruptive. Wildfire smoke can halt operations hundreds of miles from the fire itself. Heat exposure drives increased workers’ compensation claims. Water scarcity reshapes land use and development.

Surviving in the face of these mounting exposures requires integrating environmental and climate risk into enterprise planning, insurance and investment strategy. Both the public and private sectors, including insurers, are rethinking resilience models, leading to innovations such as parametric insurance, which is emerging as one of the most promising alternative solutions for climate-related risk transfer.

4. How leadership risk and workforce pressures are redefining executive liability

Human capital and leadership risks are no longer just internal issues. They have become systemic organizational risks that shape reputation, regulations and shareholder value.

Three forces are converging:

  1. Remote and hybrid workforces have reshaped management, culture and oversight expectations.

  2. AI adoption, especially in sensitive or regulated functions such as finance or healthcare, increases leadership scrutiny and the need for strong governance.

  3. Demographic shifts are tightening labor markets and making talent management a reputational and financial imperative.

Executive liability is no longer driven only by financial reporting or governance missteps; it now hinges on how leaders navigate complex workforce dynamics, safeguard data and create resilient, adaptable cultures within their organizations.

5. Systemic risk pressures in logistics and transportation

The logistics and transportation sector is experiencing some of the most intense systemic risk convergence of any industry.

Key pressures:

  • Labor availability and gig-based workforce models challenge consistency and compliance.
  • Escalating insurance costs and nuclear verdicts are reshaping risk financing strategies and transforming the economics of transportation overall.
  • Rapid adoption of telematics and AI-driven safety tools delivers tangible benefits but introduces new cyber and privacy exposures.
  • Regulatory changes and capital constraints exacerbate the strain on already fragile margins across global supply chains.

Viewed together, this sector represents a microcosm of systemic risk, as legal, workforce, technology, and operational pressures interact simultaneously. The path to resilience requires a balanced and integrated strategy, rather than siloed problem-solving. Organizations can strengthen their position by investing in technology and safety while managing workforce, legal and cyber exposures holistically.

6. How insurance innovation is responding: parametric insurance as a tool for resilience

New insurance models are evolving to match the pace and interconnected nature of today’s exposures. Parametric insurance is a standout example. It pays out based on triggers such as a specific rainfall amount, wind speed, or seismic activity, rather than physical loss.

Because data drives the payments, instead of a subjective assessment of physical damage, parametric solutions enable:

  • Faster liquidity for crisis response
  • Improved coverage predictability
  • The ability to insure risks that traditional policies may not cover

Parametric insurance complements traditional coverage by filling gaps and helping with immediate financial needs. The model is applicable across multiple industries, with use cases in agriculture, energy, construction, hospitality, fine art, and more. The growing adoption of parametric coverage indicates that risk transfer is evolving toward speed, agility, and data-driven triggers.

The path forward: building systemic resilience in an interconnected risk environment

Across each topic in this series and the diverse risks outlined, the common thread is unmistakable: today’s risks cascade and interact across multiple systems, both internally and externally.

Leaders must shift from managing discreet, siloed exposures to navigating systemic vulnerabilities. Because risks are now intertwined, resilience must also be systemic.

As organizations prepare for 2026 and beyond, the most effective strategies will include:

  • Breaking down silos across the enterprise: Risk, HR, operations, cyber and IT departments must coordinate readiness, response and recovery. Fragmented approaches simply cannot keep up with interconnected threats.
  • Mapping interdependencies and using predictive analytics: Understanding how risks cascade across departments, partners, vendors, and geographies enables earlier detection and faster intervention.
  • Expanding risk transfer through innovative solutions: Parametric insurance, captives, and alternative structures will play a significant role in filling gaps left by traditional coverage as systemic risks intensify.
  • Shifting mindsets from avoidance to adaptation: The goal isn’t eliminating disruption; it’s anticipating, withstanding, and recovering from it more effectively.

Your business outcomes depend on developing strategies that can withstand systemic shocks affecting entire networks or industries. In an era defined by convergence and volatility, systemic resilience is the new foundation of strategic risk management.

Connect with our Risk Management Team

Organizations navigating systemic and interconnected risks often benefit from informed, forward-looking guidance. Our team can help evaluate evolving exposures, discuss resilience considerations, and support strategic planning aligned to today’s risk environment.

To continue the conversation, connect with the Risk Strategies Risk Management Team at RiskMgmtServices@risk-strategies.com.

About the author

John Meder leads the National Risk Management Practice and has more than 30 years of experience in risk management, analytics, claims, and loss control, providing insurance solutions in property & casualty, as well as employee benefits. His specialization spans private equity, real estate, higher education, healthcare, and manufacturing, helping organizations reduce loss and strengthen resilience.